What is the probability for "Will a federal "Major Disaster Declaration" be issued for any US state due to severe weather by March 30th 11:59 PM EST" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will a federal "Major Disaster Declaration" be issued for any US state due to severe weather by March 30th  11:59 PM EST" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 5% with 9 traders and $902 in volume.

Will a federal "Major Disaster Declaration" be issued for any US state due to severe weather by March 30th 11:59 PM EST

Resolution