What is the probability for "Will a Democrat win the popular vote in ALL of the following presidential elections: 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040" on Manifold?

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Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 21 traders and $13K in volume.

Will a Democrat win the popular vote in ALL of the following presidential elections: 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040

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