What is the probability for "Will a decisive verdict in the Trump trial cause a 5pt change in Biden's odds in the subsequent 7 days?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will a decisive verdict in the Trump trial cause a 5pt change in Biden's odds in the  subsequent 7 days?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 8% with 36 traders and $11K in volume.

Will a decisive verdict in the Trump trial cause a 5pt change in Biden's odds in the subsequent 7 days?