What is the probability for "Will 2L flight 1111 from Munich to Zurich on 2023-08-22 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will 2L flight 1111 from Munich to Zurich on 2023-08-22 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 95% with 24 traders and $2K in volume.

Will 2L flight 1111 from Munich to Zurich on 2023-08-22 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution