What is the probability for "Will 100 people in the US commute by flying car by 2024" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will >100 people in the US commute by flying car by 2024" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 4% with 43 traders and $4K in volume.

Will >100 people in the US commute by flying car by 2024