What is the probability for "When will the manufacturer Ford win their first NASCAR Cup Series race of the 2024 season?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "When will the manufacturer Ford win their first NASCAR Cup Series race of the 2024  season?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is — with 2 traders and $2K in volume.

When will the manufacturer Ford win their first NASCAR Cup Series race of the 2024 season?