What is the probability for "What will be the final bid on Willem de Kooning's painting 'Untitled' (1979) at auction on November 16th?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 93% with 5 traders and $709 in volume.

What will be the final bid on Willem de Kooning's painting 'Untitled' (1979) at auction on November 16th?