What is the probability for "What Event Will Happen First: Jimmy Carter Passes OR A Lasting Bilateral Israel/Hamas Ceasefire? [Unlinked Market]" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is — with 202 traders and $197K in volume.

What Event Will Happen First: Jimmy Carter Passes OR A Lasting Bilateral Israel/Hamas Ceasefire? [Unlinked Market]

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