Manifold Creator
transmissions 11
@transmissions11
Markets by transmissions 11
Who will win the Nobel Prize in Economics, 2024?
$228K80 tradersResolved
—
Will Polymarket have Kamala Harris at >=45% odds for a complete week before the 2024 election?
$163K200 tradersResolved
99%
Mistral Large 2 outperforms Llama 3.1 405b Instruct on Chatbot Arena on August 12th?
$79K50 tradersResolved
1%