What is the probability for "USA adds an amendment, has pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, financial collapse, or other* in March, 2024" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "USA adds an amendment, has pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack,  financial collapse, or other* in March, 2024" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 8 traders and $18K in volume.

USA adds an amendment, has pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, financial collapse, or other* in March, 2024

Resolution