Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance Pricing

Log in Get Access

Accrue
/Home
/Manifold Markets
/US recognizes Taiwan by January 20, 2029?

ManifoldActiveBINARY · cpmm-1

US recognizes Taiwan by January 20, 2029?

Yes15%

Yes Pool

$236

No Pool

$42

Probability

15%

Volume$374

24h Volume$0

Liquidity$100

Traders11

CreatorBen S

ClosesJan 20, 2029

View on Manifold →Compare Across Platforms →

Accrue© 2026

Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance

The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets

Terms Privacy Risk Disclosure Cookies Disclaimer Acceptable Use