What is the probability for "US government shutdown by October 1st 2026? (NOT FEBRUARY READ DESCRIPTION)" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "US government shutdown by October 1st 2026?  (NOT FEBRUARY READ DESCRIPTION)" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 50% with 25 traders and $7K in volume.

US government shutdown by October 1st 2026? (NOT FEBRUARY READ DESCRIPTION)