What is the probability for "United Flight 1435 Newark to Orlando on Dec 28th to be delayed 3 hrs?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "United Flight 1435 Newark to Orlando on Dec 28th to be delayed > 3 hrs?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 24% with 4 traders and $151 in volume.

United Flight 1435 Newark to Orlando on Dec 28th to be delayed > 3 hrs?