What is the probability for "Trump will lose weight, get federally indicted, win the 2024 GOP nomination, drop out, and receive a pardon from a Democratic president" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 32 traders and $6K in volume.

Trump will lose weight, get federally indicted, win the 2024 GOP nomination, drop out, and receive a pardon from a Democratic president

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