What is the probability for "The probability of "extremely bad outcomes e.g., human extinction" from AGI will be 5% in next survey of AI experts" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "The probability of "extremely bad outcomes e.g., human extinction" from AGI will be >5% in next survey of AI experts" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 69% with 49 traders and $3K in volume.