What is the probability for "The O'Leary refinery will fail. The world will realize 90% of the oil in the world is fake and tar condensate aren't oil" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 38% with 3 traders and $22 in volume.

The O'Leary refinery will fail. The world will realize 90% of the oil in the world is fake and tar condensate aren't oil

Resolution