What is the probability for "The EA consensus acknowledges either the discovery of a "Cause X" or previously unknown "Crucial Consideration", EOY 2023" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 5% with 7 traders and $295 in volume.

The EA consensus acknowledges either the discovery of a "Cause X" or previously unknown "Crucial Consideration", EOY 2023

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