What is the probability for "Stanford's legacy admission rate drops by 25% in 2024 admissions cycle compared to 2023" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Stanford's legacy admission rate drops by >25% in 2024 admissions cycle compared to 2023" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 33% with 5 traders and $460 in volume.

Stanford's legacy admission rate drops by >25% in 2024 admissions cycle compared to 2023