What is the probability for "[short-fuse] Will "Bob Marley: One Love" have a larger (domestic) gross in February than any other two movies combined?" on Manifold?

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The current market probability is 1% with 12 traders and $5K in volume.

[short-fuse] Will "Bob Marley: One Love" have a larger (domestic) gross in February than any other two movies combined?

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