What is the probability for "Scandal markets for EA related things will unfairly tank someone's reputation before 2023, or otherwise seem negative EV in retrospect because of drama caused or changed perception of EA." on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 4% with 33 traders and $4K in volume.

Scandal markets for EA related things will unfairly tank someone's reputation before 2023, or otherwise seem negative EV in retrospect because of drama caused or changed perception of EA.

Resolution