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Probability for Biden to be the 2024 Democratic Nominee at end of July 2023 (10x zoomed in probability within [85%,95%])
Manifold
Resolved: NO
BINARY · cpmm-1
Probability for Biden to be the 2024 Democratic Nominee at end of July 2023 (10x zoomed in probability within [85%,95%])
Yes
16%
Yes Pool
$471
No Pool
$159
Resolution
NO