What is the probability for "Pokemon Mega Ev Ascended Heroes: Will we unpack a card worth $8.99 raw at Manifest (2 packs) [+Prizes]" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Pokemon Mega Ev Ascended Heroes: Will we unpack a card worth >$8.99 raw at Manifest (2 packs) [+Prizes]" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 33% with 9 traders and $280 in volume.