What is the probability for "Now that Greg Brockman and Sam Altman have joined Microsoft.

Will they ship something out before EOY?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Now that Greg Brockman and Sam Altman have joined Microsoft.

Will they ship something out before EOY?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 24% with 12 traders and $768 in volume.

Now that Greg Brockman and Sam Altman have joined Microsoft. Will they ship something out before EOY?