What is the probability for "[Metaculus] Will 3+ months of third party safety evaluations be conducted on Gemini before deployment? [Ṁ1000 subsidy]" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "[Metaculus] Will  3+ months of third party safety evaluations be conducted on Gemini before deployment? [Ṁ1000 subsidy]" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 37% with 14 traders and $3K in volume.

[Metaculus] Will 3+ months of third party safety evaluations be conducted on Gemini before deployment? [Ṁ1000 subsidy]

Resolution