What is the probability for "[Ṁ150 subsidy] Will Storm Ciarán lead to a maximum wind gust 90mph in the UK?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "[Ṁ150 subsidy] Will Storm Ciarán lead to a maximum wind gust >90mph in the UK?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 8 traders and $5K in volume.

[Ṁ150 subsidy] Will Storm Ciarán lead to a maximum wind gust >90mph in the UK?