What is the probability for "In the 2022 United States general election, will one or more anti-authoritarian-GOTV or other vote splitting campaigns appear to contribute enough votes to sway an election?" on Manifold?

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Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 1 traders and $100 in volume.

In the 2022 United States general election, will one or more anti-authoritarian-GOTV or other vote splitting campaigns appear to contribute enough votes to sway an election?

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