What is the probability for "In 2028, will I use a chatbot that can win 25% of Turing test games (defined within) where I am the judge?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "In 2028, will I use a chatbot that can win >25% of Turing test games (defined within) where I am the judge?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 35% with 10 traders and $338 in volume.