Internet of Events
Leaderboard
Traders
Markets
Hot Bets
Surveillance
Pricing
Log in
Get Access
Accrue
/
Home
/
Manifold Markets
/
If the experiment in the Chinchilla paper is repeated by a credible actor before 2026, will the exponent in the data scaling term be greater than 0.32?
Manifold
Closed
BINARY · cpmm-1
If the experiment in the Chinchilla paper is repeated by a credible actor before 2026, will the exponent in the data scaling term be greater than 0.32?
Yes
66%
Yes Pool
$112
No Pool
$201