What is the probability for "If the CAD/USD exchange rate exceeds 1.3495 on December 31st, will the price of wheat exceed $250/tonne on Jan 2nd 2024?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 71% with 9 traders and $143K in volume.

If the CAD/USD exchange rate exceeds 1.3495 on December 31st, will the price of wheat exceed $250/tonne on Jan 2nd 2024?

Resolution