What is the probability for "If Scott Alexander publicly states that he believes OpenAI should activate the "long-term safety" part of their charter, will OpenAI do so within 3 months?" on Manifold?

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The current market probability is 39% with 7 traders and $84 in volume.

If Scott Alexander publicly states that he believes OpenAI should activate the "long-term safety" part of their charter, will OpenAI do so within 3 months?

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