What is the probability for "If Israel “eradicates” Hamas, will they allow 600k Palestnians back into north of Wadi Gaza before end of 2025?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "If Israel “eradicates” Hamas, will they allow > 600k Palestnians back into north of Wadi Gaza before end of 2025?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 26% with 34 traders and $2K in volume.