What is the probability for "How long will Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House? Choose the month he will be ousted or leave the speakership" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "How long will Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House?  Choose the month he will be ousted or leave the speakership" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is — with 47 traders and $35K in volume.

How long will Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House? Choose the month he will be ousted or leave the speakership

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