Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance Pricing

Log in Get Access

Accrue
/Home
/Manifold Markets
/GPT-6 Will be as or more dissapointing than GPT-5

ManifoldActiveBINARY · cpmm-1

GPT-6 Will be as or more dissapointing than GPT-5

Yes29%

Yes Pool

$156

No Pool

$64

Probability

29%

Volume$613

24h Volume$0

Liquidity$100

Traders15

CreatorJonathan Barankin

ClosesDec 31, 2027

View on Manifold →Compare Across Platforms →

Accrue© 2026

Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance

The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets

Terms Privacy Risk Disclosure Cookies Disclaimer Acceptable Use