What is the probability for "Gemini will achieve a higher rating than OpenAI's GPT-4 model on Chatbot Arena Leaderboard before the end of 2024" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 85% with 11 traders and $1K in volume.

Gemini will achieve a higher rating than OpenAI's GPT-4 model on Chatbot Arena Leaderboard before the end of 2024

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