Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance Pricing

Log in Get Access

Accrue
/Home
/Manifold Markets
/Does an AI disaster kill at least 1,000,000,000 (1bn) people before 2040?

ManifoldActiveBINARY · cpmm-1

Does an AI disaster kill at least 1,000,000,000 (1bn) people before 2040?

Yes5%

Yes Pool

$3K

No Pool

$820

Probability

5%

Volume$3K

24h Volume$0

Liquidity$1K

Traders31

CreatorScrooge McDuck

ClosesJan 1, 2040

View on Manifold →Compare Across Platforms →

Accrue© 2026

Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance

The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets

Terms Privacy Risk Disclosure Cookies Disclaimer Acceptable Use