What is the probability for "Contingent on any interest rate announcements during Sept 2024, will the 1-month change in the S&P 500 index exceed 5%?" on Manifold?

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Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 3% with 3 traders and $5K in volume.

Contingent on any interest rate announcements during Sept 2024, will the 1-month change in the S&P 500 index exceed 5%?

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