What is the probability for "Conditional on The Motte staying on Reddit and banning Reddit-disapproved discussion, the community will still be thriving on January 1st, 2023." on Manifold?

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Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 39% with 2 traders and $60 in volume.

Conditional on The Motte staying on Reddit and banning Reddit-disapproved discussion, the community will still be thriving on January 1st, 2023.

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