What is the probability for "Conditional on the betting tax, will Manifold's monthly active users drop below 7,000 at any point before EOY 2024?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 97% with 6 traders and $1K in volume.

Conditional on the betting tax, will Manifold's monthly active users drop below 7,000 at any point before EOY 2024?

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