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/Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran pre-emptively nuke Israel?

ManifoldActiveBINARY · cpmm-1

Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran pre-emptively nuke Israel?

Yes14%

Yes Pool

$904

No Pool

$384

Probability

14%

Volume$4K

24h Volume$0

Liquidity$500

Traders10

CreatorPeter Miller

ClosesDec 31, 2030

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