What is the probability for "Conditional on early political elections been held in Italy in 2022, will Meloni’s Fratelli d’Italia result the most-voted party?" on Manifold?

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The current market probability is 99% with 5 traders and $911 in volume.

Conditional on early political elections been held in Italy in 2022, will Meloni’s Fratelli d’Italia result the most-voted party?

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