What is the probability for "Will Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) will demonstrate net energy gain (Q1) in their SPARC reactor before 12/31/2025?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) will demonstrate net energy gain (Q>1) in their SPARC reactor before 12/31/2025?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 6% with 23 traders and $30K in volume.

Will Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) will demonstrate net energy gain (Q>1) in their SPARC reactor before 12/31/2025?

Resolution