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/Claude Sonnet 4.5 outperforms GPT-5 on METR 50% time horizon?

ManifoldResolved: NOBINARY · cpmm-1

Claude Sonnet 4.5 outperforms GPT-5 on METR 50% time horizon?

Yes1%

Yes Pool

$10K

No Pool

$101

Resolution

NO

Probability

1%

Volume$19K

24h Volume$0

Liquidity$1K

Traders65

CreatorBayesian

ClosesOct 9, 2025

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