What is the probability for "Can model 90% as good as o4-mini be created with open source and

The current market probability is 18% with 8 traders and $307 in volume.

Question

What is the probability for "Can model 90% as good as o4-mini be created with open source and <$500 GPU compute?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 18% with 8 traders and $307 in volume.

Can model 90% as good as o4-mini be created with open source and <$500 GPU compute?