What is the probability for "Can Israel go a week without violating the ceasefire by killing Palestinians in Gaza in 2025?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Can Israel go a week without violating the ceasefire by killing Palestinians in Gaza  in 2025?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 96% with 19 traders and $874 in volume.

Can Israel go a week without violating the ceasefire by killing Palestinians in Gaza in 2025?