What is the probability for "Pacific Coast Highway: can it be driven from SF to LA on these days? (CA Route 1 closures/washouts/fires), til 2030" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Pacific Coast Highway: can it be driven from SF to LA on these days?  (CA Route 1 closures/washouts/fires), til 2030" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is — with 9 traders and $6K in volume.