What is the probability for "By EOY2027, 200pg Neon Genesis Evangelion fanfic w/gwern,roko,janus,Nick Cammarata, Jessica Taylor, SamoBurja in it" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "By EOY2027, >200pg Neon Genesis Evangelion fanfic w/gwern,roko,janus,Nick Cammarata, Jessica Taylor, SamoBurja in it" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 50% with 0 traders and $0 in volume.

By EOY2027, >200pg Neon Genesis Evangelion fanfic w/gwern,roko,janus,Nick Cammarata, Jessica Taylor, SamoBurja in it

Resolution