What is the probability for "Before February 2025, will a Gemini model exceed Claude 3.5 Sonnet 10/22's Global Average score on LiveBench?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 95% with 2 traders and $317 in volume.

Before February 2025, will a Gemini model exceed Claude 3.5 Sonnet 10/22's Global Average score on LiveBench?

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