What is the probability for "Before 2030, Toyota will be selling cars with solid-state batteries with a =1000km range chargeable in under 15 minutes" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Before 2030, Toyota will be selling cars with solid-state batteries with a >=1000km range chargeable in under 15 minutes" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 20% with 8 traders and $140 in volume.