What is the probability for "Banded Allotoca (Allotoca goslinei) extinct by 2100?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Banded Allotoca (​​Allotoca goslinei) extinct by 2100?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 61% with 4 traders and $125 in volume.

Banded Allotoca (​​Allotoca goslinei) extinct by 2100?