What is the probability for "At any point during the evening, will the top scorer on the group leaderboard be a Manifold user that never attends the party?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 17% with 7 traders and $237 in volume.

At any point during the evening, will the top scorer on the group leaderboard be a Manifold user that never attends the party?

Resolution